FXUS64 KMAF 210501
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1101 PM CST Wed Jan 20 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR will continue for the next 24 hrs w/the exception of FST where
MVFR conditions conditions may develop for a few hours early this
morning. Otherwise -SHRA will increase in coverage, impacting the
W TX terminals between 21/10Z-12Z. Rain should decrease late in
the period. Winds will remain light out of the W-SW.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 224 PM CST Wed Jan 20 2021/

DISCUSSION...

An upper level low/trough is just south of California with west
southwest upper winds over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.
Upper lift and moisture have increased allowing for light rain to
develop and move across the area. High temperatures today will be in
the 40s and 50s with the surface high positioned just to the east.

Rain chances will continue into tonight and Thursday. Temperatures
are expected to remain above freezing tonight so precipitation will
remain in the form of rain. The previously mentioned upper trough
will move eastward over Arizona and New Mexico and will weaken on
Thursday. Temperatures will warm up on Thursday with highs mostly in
the 60s. The rain may continue into the evening hours on Thursday
but is expected to be cleared out of the area by Friday morning.
Mostly zonal flow will be across the region on Friday with a cold
front impacting northern and eastern portions of the Permian Basin.
An upper level trough will dig southward across the western part of
the country on Saturday with temperatures warming up into mostly the
60s and 70s. The upper trough moves closer to the area on Sunday
with a surface trough developing across portions of West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico. Temperatures will warm up slightly from the
previous day. The previously mentioned upper trough weakens and
lifts northeastward towards Oklahoma on Monday. The passage of this
trough brings in a Pacific front which will result in cooler
temperatures with highs mostly in the 50s and 60s on Monday.
Conditions on Tuesday and next Wednesday will be similar to those on
Monday with another upper trough moving near/over the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     47  45  63  43 /  80  10  30  20
Carlsbad                       50  41  65  39 /  50  10  40  20
Dryden                         52  48  65  49 /  60  30  40  30
Fort Stockton                  48  48  66  46 /  80  40  50  30
Guadalupe Pass                 47  44  57  40 /  60  30  60  20
Hobbs                          49  41  64  38 /  50  10  20  20
Marfa                          48  39  63  34 /  70  50  60  40
Midland Intl Airport           47  44  63  43 /  80  20  40  30
Odessa                         47  43  63  43 /  80  20  40  30
Wink                           49  43  66  40 /  70  30  40  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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