Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined. However, the associated showers and T-Storms remain disorganized. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours high 90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days high 90 percent. Showers and T-Storms are showing signs of organization in association with a tropical wave that is located just off the coast of western Africa. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is possible there on Monday and Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours medium 50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days high 80 percent. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and T-Storms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds should limit its formation chances. * Formation chance through 48 hours low 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days low 10 percent. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development during the next several days while this system moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours low 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days low 20 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi