SAM BEGINNING TO REGROUP AFTER WEAKENING… …SOME REINTENSIFICATION EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

SAM BEGINNING TO REGROUP AFTER WEAKENING… …SOME REINTENSIFICATION EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 52.7 West. Sam is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days, with an increase in forward speed beginning on Thursday. A turn to the north is expected by Friday. On the forecast track, Sam will pass well to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands Wednesday and Thursday.

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

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From the National Hurricane Center:

Corrected formation chances to medium in last two paragraphs
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
An elongated area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some further development, and Peter could briefly become a tropical depression again during the next day or two while it moves northeastward near 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
A tropical wave is moving offshore the west coast of Africa and into the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
$$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING SAM

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HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING SAM

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 52.0 West. Sam is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days, with an increase in forward speed beginning on Thursday. A turn to the north is expected on Friday. On the forecast track, Sam will pass well to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands Wednesday and Thursday.

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SAM EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE FOR SEVERAL DAYS… …HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE SAM LATER TODAY

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

SAM EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE FOR SEVERAL DAYS… …HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE SAM LATER TODAY

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 51.4 West. Sam is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next several days, with an increase in forward speed beginning on Thursday.

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Monday’s Fire Weather Forecast

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The current Burn Ban Map for Texas is posted above.

ELEVATED FIRE THREAT ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO LAMPASAS THIS AFTERNOON

…ELEVATED FIRE THREAT ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO LAMPASAS THIS AFTERNOON… WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR GRASS FIRES THIS AFTERNOON FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS, INCLUDING THE HIGHWAY 281 CORRIDOR. EXTREME CARE IS URGED DURING ALL OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES WHERE THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR GRASS FIRES TO GET STARTED. AVOID OUTSIDE BURNING AND WELDING. DO NOT TOSS LIT CIGARETTE BUTTS OUTSIDE. REPORT WILD FIRES TO THE NEAREST FIRE DEPARTMENT OR LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE QUICKLY.