DISTURBANCE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

DISTURBANCE OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY

At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 9.6 North, longitude 44.6 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.

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TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE ATLANTIC BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED… …TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE ATLANTIC BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED… …TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 9.6 North, longitude 43.7 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that continues to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph. Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located just east of the Lesser Antilles. Significant development of this system is unlikely while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser Antilles today and then across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea later this week. Regardless of development, this system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
$$ Forecaster Beven